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Author:
Perlmutter, Saul.
Title:
Third millennium thinking : creating sense in a world of nonsense / Saul Perlmutter, John Campbell, Robert MacCoun.
Edition:
First edition.
Publisher:
LittleBrown Spark,
Copyright Date:
2024
Description:
viii, 305 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm
Subject:
Cognitive psychology.
Thought and thinking.
Social psychology.
Decision making.
Other Authors:
Campbell, John, 1956 November 2- author.
MacCoun, Robert J., author.
Notes:
Includes bibliographical references (pages 285-298) and index.
Contents:
Introduction -- Part I: Getting a grip on reality. Decisions, decisions, decisions ; Instruments and reality ; Making things happen -- Part II: Understanding and uncertainty. A radical shift to probablistic thinking ; Overconfidence and humility ; Finding signal in noise ; Seeing things that aren't there ; Pick your poison: Two kinds of error ; Statistical and systematic uncertainty -- Part III: The radical can-do stance. Scientific optimism ; Orders of understanding and Fermi problems -- Part IV: Minding the gaps. Why it's hard to learn from experience ; Science gone wrong ; Confirmation bias and blind analysis -- Part V: Joining forces. The wisdom and madness of crowds ; Weaving facts and values ; The deliberation challege ; Rebooting trust for a new millennium.
Summary:
A Nobel prize-winning physicist, a social psychologist and a philosopher on how science can help us navigate information overload, thrive amidst uncertainty and heal our fractured society.
ISBN:
0316438103
9780316438100
OCLC:
(OCoLC)1428461734
Locations:
TCPG826 -- Bettendorf Public Library Information Center (Bettendorf)
GDPF771 -- Urbandale Public Library (Urbandale)

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