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04078aam a2200445 i 4500 001 A0535D966B5611E69AFE1DDBDAD10320 003 SILO 005 20160826010517 008 141110s2015 nyua b 001 0 eng 010 $a 2014024770 020 $a 0199360863 020 $a 9780199360864 035 $a (OCoLC)890180898 040 $a DLC $e rda $b eng $c DLC $d YDX $d BTCTA $d BDX $d YDXCP $d CDX $d SILO 042 $a pcc 050 00 $a JF1525.I6 A4325 2015 082 00 $a 327.12 $2 23 084 $a SCI000000 $a POL044000 $a SCI000000 $2 bisacsh 100 1 $a Agrell, Wilhelm, $e author. 245 10 $a National intelligence and science : $b beyond the great divide in analysis and policy / $c Wilhelm Agrell and Gregory F. Treverton. 264 1 $a New York, NY : $b Oxford University Press, $c [2015] 300 $a xii, 219 pages ; $c 25 cm 504 $a Includes bibliographical references and index. 505 8 $a Machine generated contents note: -- 1. Introduction: The Odd Twins of Uncertainty -- 2. Framing the Divide -- 3. What Is Analysis? Roads Not Taken -- 4. Intelligence Challenges in Scientific Research -- 5. Exploring Other Domains -- 6. Common Core Issues: Intelligence Analysis, Medicine, and Policy Analysis -- 7. Challenges for Intelligence -- 8. Politicization: Disseminating and Distorting Knowledge -- 9. Beyond the Divide: Framing and Assessing Risks under Prevailing Uncertainty. 520 $a "Intelligence is currently facing increasingly challenging cross-pressures from both a need for accurate and timely assessments of potential or imminent security threats and the unpredictability of many of these emerging threats. We are living in a social environment of growing security and intelligence challenges, yet the traditional, narrow intelligence process is becoming increasingly insufficient for coping with diffuse, complex, and rapidly-transforming threats. The essence of intelligence is no longer the collection, analysis, and dissemination of secret information, but has become instead the management of uncertainty in areas critical for overriding security goals--not only for nations, but also for the international community as a whole. For its part, scientific research on major societal risks like climate change is facing a similar cross-pressure from demand on the one hand and incomplete data and developing theoretical concepts on the other. 520 $9 $a For both of these knowledge-producing domains, the common denominator is the paramount challenges of framing and communicating uncertainty and of managing the pitfalls of politicization National Intelligence and Science is one of the first attempts to analyze these converging domains and the implications of their convergence, in terms of both more scientific approaches to intelligence problems and intelligence approaches to scientific problems. Science and intelligence constitute, as the book spells out, two remarkably similar and interlinked domains of knowledge production, yet ones that remain traditionally separated by a deep political, cultural, and epistemological divide. Looking ahead, the two twentieth-century monoliths--the scientific and the intelligence estates--are becoming simply outdated in their traditional form. 520 $9 $a The risk society is closing the divide, though in a direction not foreseen by the proponents of turning intelligence analysis into a science, or the new production of scientific knowledge"-- $c Provided by publisher. 650 0 $a Intelligence service $x Methodology. 650 0 $a Science $x Methodology. 650 0 $a National security. 650 0 $a Security, International. 650 0 $a Uncertainty (Information theory) 650 7 $a POLITICAL SCIENCE / Public Policy / General. $2 bisacsh 650 7 $a POLITICAL SCIENCE / Public Policy / Environmental Policy. $2 bisacsh 650 7 $a SCIENCE / General. $2 bisacsh 700 1 $a Treverton, Gregory F., $e author. 941 $a 1 952 $l USUX851 $d 20171107021451.0 956 $a http://locator.silo.lib.ia.us/search.cgi?index_0=id&term_0=A0535D966B5611E69AFE1DDBDAD10320 994 $a 92 $b IWAInitiate Another SILO Locator Search