241 records matched your query
02540aam a2200361 a 4500 001 990F70E46B5411E69AFE1DDBDAD10320 003 SILO 005 20160826010517 008 120716s2012 caua b 000 0 eng 010 $a 2012028666 020 $a 0833076612 (pbk. : alk. paper) 020 $a 9780833076618 (pbk. : alk. paper) 035 $a (OCoLC)800447822 040 $a DLC $b eng $c DLC $d YDX $d BTCTA $d YDXCP $d CZL $d NUI $d IWA $d SILO 043 $a n-us--- 050 00 $a UA23 D2877 2012 100 1 $a Davis, Paul K., $d 1943- 245 10 $a Lessons from RAND's work on planning under uncertainty for national security / $c Paul K. Davis. 260 $a Santa Monica, CA : $b RAND National Defense Research Institute, $c 2012. 300 $a xiii, 39 p. : $b col. ill. ; $c 28 cm. 490 1 $a Technical report ; $v TR-1249-OSD 504 $a Includes bibliographical references (p. 35-39). 505 0 $a A cross-cutting analytic method: exploratory analysis -- The concept -- Making exploratory analysis feasible and convergent -- Start with a broad view -- Narrow the analysis for the study at hand -- Use multiresolution modeling -- Narrow to a test set of scenarios -- Use computational experiments for scenario discovery -- Strategic planning -- Uncertainty-sensitive strategic planning -- Planning specific adaptations -- Capabilities-based planning and portfolio analysis -- System thinking in strategic planning for complex adaptive systems -- Border control for drug smuggling -- Counterterrorism and counterinsurgency -- Strategic forecasting and expert elicitation -- Acquisition management -- Deciding on whether to arrange for competition -- Reducing risk by taking risk -- Reducing uncertainty by researching the facts -- Scientific cost estimation -- Logistics -- Background -- RAND's 1980's uncertainty project -- Recent developments -- Manpower -- Crisis decisionmaking -- Issues of organization and implementation -- Organizing to cope -- Anticipating organizational behavior undercutting intentions -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: the more general literature. 650 0 $a National security $z United States $x Planning. 650 0 $a Interagency coordination $z United States. 650 0 $a Strategic planning $z United States. 650 0 $a System analysis. 830 0 $a Technical report (Rand Corporation) ; $v TR-1249-OSD. 941 $a 2 952 $l OVUX522 $d 20180109013503.0 952 $l USUX851 $d 20160826062339.0 956 $a http://locator.silo.lib.ia.us/search.cgi?index_0=id&term_0=990F70E46B5411E69AFE1DDBDAD10320 994 $a C0 $b IWAInitiate Another SILO Locator Search