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Author:

Friedman, Jeffrey A. (Jeffrey Allan), author.

Title:

War and chance : assessing uncertainty in international politics / Jeffrey A. Friedman.

Publisher:

Oxford University Press,

Copyright Date:

2019

Description:

x, 228 pages ; 25 cm.

Subject:

International relations--Decision making.
National security--Decision making.
Uncertainty--Political aspects.
United States--Decision making.--Decision making.
United States--Decision making.--Decision making.
Uncertainty--Political aspects--United States.
International relations--Decision making.
National security--Decision making.
United States.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Contents:

Introduction : "One of the things you learn as president is that you're always dealing with probabilities" -- Pathologies of probability assessment -- Subjective probability and international politics -- The value of precision in probability assessment -- Dispelling illusions of rigor -- The politics of uncertainty and blame -- Analysis and decision -- Practical implications and directions for further research.

Series:

Bridging the gap

ISBN:

0190938021
9780190938024

OCLC:

(OCoLC)1073034232

LCCN:

2018043558

Locations:

USUX851 -- Iowa State University - Parks Library (Ames)