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03692aam a2200613Ii 4500 001 14C52AEC177D11EC850ADFAD22ECA4DB 003 SILO 005 20210917010313 008 200818s2020 caua ba 000 0 eng d 020 $a 9781977405531 020 $a 1977405533 035 $a (OCoLC)1198250126 040 $a RSM $b eng $e rda $c RSM $d OCLCO $d BDX $d OCLCF $d YDXIT $d OCLCO $d YDX $d COH $d SILO 043 $a a-kn--- 050 14 $a JQ1729.5.A58 $b P37 2020 100 1 $a Parachini, John, $e author. 245 10 $a North Korean Decisionmaking : $b Economic Opening, Conventional Deterrence Breakdown, and Nuclear Use / $c John V. Parachini, Scott W. Harold, Gian Gentile, Derek Grossman, Leah Heejin Kim, Logan Ma, Michael J. Mazarr, Linda Robinson. 264 1 $a Santa Monica, CA : $b RAND Corporation, $c [2020] 300 $a xix, 103 pages : $b color illustrations ; $c 23 cm. 490 1 $a [Research report] ; $v RR-A165-1 500 $a "RAND National Defense Research Institute." 500 $a "Prepared for the National Intelligence Council." 504 $a Includes bibliographical references (pages 93-103). 505 0 $a Introduction -- Prospects That North Korea Will Engage in Market Reform -- Conventional Deterrence on the Korean Peninsula: Two Scenarios for Analysis -- North Korea Nuclear Doctrine -- Conclusions. 520 $a This report is a compilation of three papers designed to stimulate discussion among those who are focused on North Korean decisionmaking. The first paper describes the experiences of North Korea and three similar authoritarian regimes-China, Vietnam, and Cuba-and provides a forecast of why and how North Korea might adopt a new economic model. The second paper describes decisions that the North Korean leadership might face in two scenarios in which conventional deterrence on the Korean Peninsula breaks down. The final paper provides an assessment of North Korean leadership decisionmaking about nuclear weapons doctrine. Despite the many unknowns surrounding the North Korean leadership decisionmaking process, these papers constructively outline the parameters of the North Korean decisionmaking "trade space" and the historical examples from which North Korean leaders might draw. 530 $a Also available on the internet via WWW in PDF format. 651 0 $a Korea (North) $x Politics and government $y 2011- 650 0 $a Political leadership $z Korea (North) 650 0 $a Nuclear weapons $z Korea (North) 650 0 $a Nuclear arms control $z Korea (North) 650 0 $a Economic policy. 651 0 $a Korea (North) $x Economic policy. 650 7 $a Economic policy. $2 fast $0 (OCoLC)fst00902025 650 7 $a Nuclear arms control. $2 fast $0 (OCoLC)fst01039881 650 7 $a Nuclear weapons. $2 fast $0 (OCoLC)fst01040971 650 7 $a Political leadership. $2 fast $0 (OCoLC)fst01069363 650 7 $a Politics and government. $2 fast $0 (OCoLC)fst01919741 651 7 $a Korea (North) $2 fast $0 (OCoLC)fst01214151 648 7 $a Since 2011 $2 fast 700 1 $a Harold, Scott, $d 1975- $e author. 700 1 $a Gentile, Gian P., $e author. 700 0 $a Grossman, Derek. $e author. 700 1 $a Kim, Leah Heejin, $e author. 700 1 $a Ma, Logan, $e author. 700 1 $a Mazarr, Michael J., $d 1965- $e author. 700 1 $a Robinson, Linda, $d 1962- $e author. 710 2 $a National Defense Research Institute (U.S.) 710 2 $a Rand Corporation. 710 2 $a National Intelligence Council (U.S.) 830 0 $a Research report (Rand Corporation) ; $v RR-A165-1. 856 41 $u https://doi.org/10.7249/RRA165-1 941 $a 1 952 $l OVUX522 $d 20231019020518.0 956 $a http://locator.silo.lib.ia.us/search.cgi?index_0=id&term_0=14C52AEC177D11EC850ADFAD22ECA4DBInitiate Another SILO Locator Search