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02712aam a2200325Ii 4500 001 4B28D4908E9811EAB83BD64B97128E48 003 SILO 005 20200505011818 008 190901s2020 nyua 000 0 eng d 020 $a 0190089466 020 $a 9780190089467 020 $a 0190089458 020 $a 9780190089450 035 $a (OCoLC)1113899729 040 $a YDX $b eng $e rda $c YDX $d NYP $d OCLCO $d OCLCF $d UKMGB $d SILO 050 14 $a JF1001 S335 2020 100 1 $a Shaw, Daron R., $d 1966- $e author. 245 14 $a The turnout myth : $b voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections / $c Daron R. Shaw and John R. Petrocik. 264 1 $a New York, NY : $b Oxford University Press, $c [2020] 300 $a 200 pages : $b illustrations : $c 24 cm 520 $a This book refutes the widely held convention that high turnout in national elections advantages Democratic candidates while low turnout helps Republicans. It examines over fifty years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senate, and House election data to show there is no consistent partisan effect associated with turnout. The overall relationship between the partisan vote and turnout for these offices is uncorrelated. Most significant, there is no observable party bias to turnout when each office or seat is examined through time. In some states, across the decades, gubernatorial and senatorial contests show a pro-Democratic bias to turnout; in others an increase in turnout helps Republicans. The pattern repeats for House elections during the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and through the 2010s. The analysis demonstrates that, within the range that turnout varies in American elections, it is the participation and abstention of easily influenced, less engaged citizens - peripheral voters - that move the outcome between the parties. These voters are the most influenced when the short-term forces of the election - differential candidate appeal, issues, scandals, and so forth - help the parties. Since these influences advantage Republicans as often as Democrats, the oscillation in turnout that coincides with pro-GOP and pro-Democratic forces leaves turnout rates inconsequential overall. The connections between short-term forces and the election cycle dominate the inconsistent partisan effects of turnout. 504 $a Includes bibliographical references and index. 650 0 $a Voter turnout $z United States. 650 0 $a Political participation $z United States. 650 0 $a Voting research $z United States. 700 1 $a Petrocik, John R., $d 1944- $e author. 941 $a 1 952 $l USUX851 $d 20220303012617.0 956 $a http://locator.silo.lib.ia.us/search.cgi?index_0=id&term_0=4B28D4908E9811EAB83BD64B97128E48 994 $a C0 $b IWAInitiate Another SILO Locator Search