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03433aam a22004578i 4500 001 0ADBE6882A8711EDB7025AE94EECA4DB 003 SILO 005 20220902011726 008 220608s2022 nyu b 001 0 eng 010 $a 2022026775 020 $a 1324021306 020 $a 9781324021308 035 $a (OCoLC)1294282895 040 $a DLC $b eng $e rda $c DLC $d OCLCF $d UKMGB $d SILO 042 $a pcc 043 $a a-cc--- $a a-cc--- 050 00 $a E183.8 C5 B43 2022 100 1 $a Beckley, Michael, $e author. 245 10 $a Danger zone : $b the coming conflict with China / $c Michael Beckley, and Hal Brands. 250 $a First edition. 263 $a 2208 264 1 $a New York, NY : $b W.W. Norton & Company, $c [2022] 300 $a 1 volume ; $c 23 cm 504 $a Includes bibliographical references and index. 505 0 $a The Chinese Dream -- Peak China -- The Closing Ring -- Danger: Falling Powers -- The Gathering Storm -- What One Cold War Can Teach Us About Another -- Into the Danger Zone -- Life on the Other Side. 520 $a "A provocative and urgent analysis of the U.S.-China rivalry. It has become conventional wisdom that America and China are running a "superpower marathon" that may last a century. Yet Hal Brands and Michael Beckley pose a counterintuitive question: What if the sharpest phase of that competition is more like a decade-long sprint? The Sino-American contest is driven by clashing geopolitical interests and a stark ideological dispute over whether authoritarianism or democracy will dominate the 21st century. But both history and China's current trajectory suggest that this rivalry will reach its moment of maximum danger in the 2020s. China is at a perilous moment: strong enough to violently challenge the existing order, yet losing confidence that time is on its side. Numerous examples from antiquity to the present show that rising powers become most aggressive when their fortunes fade, their difficulties multiply, and they realize they must achieve their ambitions now or miss the chance to do so forever. China has already started down this path. Witness its aggression toward Taiwan, its record-breaking military buildup, and its efforts to dominate the critical technologies that will shape the world's future. Over the long run, the Chinese challenge will most likely prove more manageable than many pessimists currently believe-but during the 2020s, the pace of Sino-American conflict will accelerate, and the prospect of war will be frighteningly real. America, Brands and Beckley argue, will still need a sustainable approach to winning a protracted global competition. But first, it needs a near-term strategy for navigating the danger zone ahead"-- $c Provided by publisher. 651 0 $a United States $x Foreign relations $z China. 651 0 $a China $x Foreign relations $z United States. 651 0 $a United States $x Foreign relations $y 21st century. 651 0 $a China $x Foreign relations $y 21st century. 700 1 $a Brands, Hal, $d 1983- $e author. 776 08 $i ebook version : $z 9781324021315 941 $a 6 952 $l USUX851 $d 20240305043811.0 952 $l GFPE771 $d 20231206011143.0 952 $l GMPD771 $d 20230210024914.0 952 $l ZAPB232 $d 20230124012513.0 952 $l CAPH522 $d 20221005010339.0 952 $l TCPG826 $d 20221004010332.0 956 $a http://locator.silo.lib.ia.us/search.cgi?index_0=id&term_0=0ADBE6882A8711EDB7025AE94EECA4DB 994 $a C0 $b IWAInitiate Another SILO Locator Search