2124 records matched your query
02414aam a2200349 i 4500 001 95998FA8383D11EFA74ADF9234ECA4DB 003 SILO 005 20240702013519 008 240501t20242024nyua e b 001 0 eng d 020 $a 1668052601 020 $a 9781668052600 040 $d SILO 050 4 $a QA279.5 $b .C45 2024 082 04 $a 519.5/42 $2 23 100 1 $a Chivers, Tom $c (Science writer), $e author. 245 10 $a Everything is predictable : $b how Bayesian statistics explain our world / $c Tom Chivers. 250 $a First One Signal Publishers/Atria Books hardcover edition. 264 1 $a New York : $b One Signal Publishers/Atria, $c 2024. 300 $a 371 pages : $b illustrations ; $c 24 cm. 504 $a Includes bibliographical references and index. 505 0 $a Introduction: a theory of not quite everything -- From The Book of Common Prayer to the full Monte Carlo -- Bayes in science -- Bayesian decision theory -- Bayes in the world -- The Bayesian brain -- Bayesian life -- Acknowledgments -- Notes -- Index. 520 $a "At its simplest, Bayes's theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone in rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modeling and forecasting....And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost anything -- that it is the underlying architecture of rationality...Fusing biography, razor-sharp science writing, and intellectual history, Everything is Predictable is an entertaining tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life, showing how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences" -- Book jacket. 650 0 $a Bayesian statistical decision theory. 650 0 $a Mathematical statistics. 650 0 $a Probabilities. 650 0 $a Forecasting. 655 7 $a Informational works. $2 lcgft. 710 2 $a Simon and Schuster, Inc., $e publisher. 941 $a 2 952 $l SFPH074 $d 20240716063121.0 952 $l CAPH522 $d 20240702031850.0 956 $a http://locator.silo.lib.ia.us/search.cgi?index_0=id&term_0=95998FA8383D11EFA74ADF9234ECA4DBInitiate Another SILO Locator Search