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03525aam a2200457 a 4500 001 CA18DA186B5411E69AFE1DDBDAD10320 003 SILO 005 20160826010517 008 121106s2012 caua b 000 0 eng d 010 $a 2012953351 020 $a 9780833076854 (pbk.) 020 $a 083307685X 035 $a (OCoLC)825197993 040 $a YDXCP $b eng $c YDXCP $d DLC $d IWA $d SILO 042 $a lccopycat 043 $a n-us--- 050 00 $a HV6432 M6 2012 245 00 $a Modeling terrorism risk to the air transportation system : $b an independent assessment of TSA's risk management analysis tool and associated methods / $c Andrew R. Morral ... [et al.]. 260 $a Santa Monica, CA : $b Rand Corporation, $c 2012. 300 $a xxii, 146 p. ; $c 23 cm. 500 $a "MG1241-TSA"--p. 4 of cover. 500 $a At head of title: RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center. 504 $a Includes bibliographical references: p. 135-146. 520 $a RAND evaluated a terrorism risk modeling tool developed by the Transportation Security Administration and Boeing to help guide program planning for aviation security. This tool, the Risk Management Analysis Tool, or RMAT, is used by TSA to estimate the terrorism risk-reduction benefits attributable to new and existing security programs, technologies, and procedures. RMAT simulates terrorist behavior and success in attacking vulnerabilities in the domestic commercial air transportation system, drawing on estimates of terrorist resources, capabilities, preferences, decision processes, intelligence collection, and operational planning. It describes how the layers of security protecting the air transportation system are likely to perform when confronted by more than 60 types of attacks, drawing on detailed blast and other physical modeling to understand the damage produced by different weapons and attacks, and calculating expected loss of life and the direct and indirect economic consequences of that damage. This report describes RAND's conclusions about the validity of RMAT for TSA's intended uses and its recommendations for how TSA should perform cost-benefit analyses of its security programs. 505 2 $a Introduction. -- RMAT adversary model. -- RMAT defender model. -- RMAT data requirements and sources. -- RMAT model performance and management. -- Supporting TSA management and investment decisions with RMAT. -- Conclusions. -- Requirements for a TSA risk assessment. -- Bibliography. 536 $a The research described in this report was prepared for the Transportation Security Administration and conducted within the RAND National Defense Research Institute ... under Contract W74V8H-06-C-0002. 610 20 $a United States. $b Transportation Security Administration $v Rules and practice $x Evaluation. 650 0 $a Risk management $x Mathematical models. 650 0 $a Terrorism $z United States $x Prevention. 650 0 $a Aeronautics $z United States $x Evaluation. $x Evaluation. 650 0 $a Aeronautics, Commercial $x Evaluation. $z United States $x Evaluation. 700 1 $a Morral, Andrew R. 710 2 $a National Defense Research Institute (U.S.) 710 2 $a Rand Corporation. 710 2 $a RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center. 856 41 $u http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2012/RAND_MG1241.pdf 941 $a 2 952 $l OVUX522 $d 20180103022733.0 952 $l USUX851 $d 20160826065337.0 956 $a http://locator.silo.lib.ia.us/search.cgi?index_0=id&term_0=CA18DA186B5411E69AFE1DDBDAD10320 994 $a C0 $b IWAInitiate Another SILO Locator Search