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03122aam a2200373 i 4500 001 B974AF08A80111E7B9D4614397128E48 003 SILO 005 20171003010225 008 170706s2017 mauabf b 001 0 eng c 010 $a 2016043623 020 $a 0262036061 020 $a 9780262036061 035 $a (OCoLC)993134016 040 $a PSt/DLC $b eng $e rda $c UPM $d DLC $d OCLCO $d OCLCF $d YDX $d YDX $d OCLCO $d SILO 042 $a pcc 050 00 $a QC995 $b .H64 2017 082 00 $a 551.63 $2 23 100 1 $a Hoffman, Robert R., $e author. 245 10 $a Minding the weather : $b how expert forecasters think / $c Robert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. LaDue, H. Michael Mogil, Paul J. Roebber, and J. Gregory Trafton. 264 1 $a Cambridge, Massachusetts : $b The MIT Press, $c [2017] 300 $a xiv, 470 pages, 16 unnumbered pages of plates ; $c 24 cm 520 $a "This book presents an integration of recent research that reveals the knowledge and reasoning of expert weather forecasters, explaining how they understand and predict the weather. The book also discusses different styles and approaches to forecasting. It summarizes what weather forecasters themselves have said about their reasoning, the literature of what makes for sound training of forecasters, studies of forecast accuracy, attempts to generate computer systems to forecast weather, and the technologies used in forecasting (including displays and visualizations) in such systems as radar and satellite. It presents a case study in which forecasters at a facility were probed for their reasoning and a proficiency scale was developed. In addition, the book summarizes and integrates the newest cutting-edge research in applied cognitive science, human factors engineering, cognitive systems engineering, and human-computer interaction that has investigated aspects of the psychology of weather forecasting, including knowledge and mental models, perceptual and display interpretation skills, and reasoning heuristics and strategies"--Provided by publisher. 504 $a Includes bibliographical references and index. 505 0 $a Introduction -- What is the forecasting workplace like? -- How do people get to be forecasters? -- How do forecasters describe their reasoning? -- How well do forecasters perform? -- What characterizes expertise? -- How do forecasters get to be expert forecasters? -- What does research on forecaster knowledge tell us? -- What does research n forecaster perception tell us? -- What does research on forecaster reasoning tell us? -- Can a machine imitate the human? -- Can a machine replace the human? -- Forecaster-computer interdependence -- Prospects. 650 0 $a Weather forecasting. 650 7 $a Weather forecasting. $2 fast $0 (OCoLC)fst01173142 700 1 $a LaDue, Daphne S. $q (Daphne Sue), $d 1967- $e author. 700 1 $a Mogil, H. Michael, $e author. 700 1 $a Roebber, Paul J. $q (Paul Joseph), $e author. 700 1 $a Trafton, John Gregory, $d 1966- $e author. 941 $a 1 952 $l USUX851 $d 20190806073640.0 956 $a http://locator.silo.lib.ia.us/search.cgi?index_0=id&term_0=B974AF08A80111E7B9D4614397128E48 994 $a 92 $b IWAInitiate Another SILO Locator Search