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02114aam a2200325Ii 4500 001 AED8446AB81211E9A4E5754297128E48 003 SILO 005 20190806010914 008 181003s2019 ctua b 001 0 eng d 020 $a 9780300244663 020 $a 0300244665 035 $a (OCoLC)1055260945 040 $a YDX $b eng $e rda $c YDX $d BDX $d OCLCQ $d FM0 $d OCLCO $d CHVBK $d YUS $d SINLB $d UKMGB $d OCLCF $d OCLCO $d HRM $d UKOBU $d VP@ $d IWA $d SILO 050 4 $a HB3730 C366x 2019 082 04 $a 330.01/12 $2 23 100 1 $a Castle, Jennifer, $d 1979- $e author. 245 10 $a Forecasting : $b an essential introduction / $c Jennifer L. Castle, Michael P. Clements, David F. Hendry. 264 1 $a New Haven ; $b Yale University Press, $c [2019] 300 $a xiv, 213 pages : $b illustrations ; $c 22 cm 504 $a Includes bibliographical references and index. 505 0 $a Why do we need forecasts? -- How do we make forecasts? -- Where are we before we forecast? -- How do we judge forecasts? -- How uncertain are our forecasts? -- Are some real world events unpredictable? -- Why do systematic forecast failures occur? -- Can we avoid systematic forecast failures? -- How do we automatically detect breaks? -- Can we forecast breaks before they hit? -- Can we improve forecasts during breaks? -- Would more information be useful? -- Can econometrics improve forecasting? -- Can you trust economic forecasts? 520 $a Making accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. This introduction provides an accessible overview of the processes and difficulties of forecasting. For students, for practitioners new to the field, and for general readers interested in how economists forecast. 650 0 $a Economic forecasting. 700 1 $a Clements, Michael P., $e author. 700 1 $a Hendry, David F., $e author. 941 $a 2 952 $l PQAX094 $d 20231214050013.0 952 $l USUX851 $d 20191105025413.0 956 $a http://locator.silo.lib.ia.us/search.cgi?index_0=id&term_0=AED8446AB81211E9A4E5754297128E48 994 $a 92 $b IWAInitiate Another SILO Locator Search